Terzin, M.; Robbins, S. J.; Le Cao, K.-A.; Bell, S. C.; Dougan, K. E.; Zaugg, J.; Gruber, R. K.; Emslie, M. J.; Ceccarelli, D. M.; Chaffron, S.; Hugenholtz, P.; Webster, N. S.; Bourne, D. G.; Yeoh, Y. K.; Laffy, P. W.

Australia's Great Barrier Reef is a biodiversity hotspot critical to ocean health, yet it faces increasing threats from climate change and localised impacts requiring effective conservation and management action. Rezoning of the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park in 2004 expanded No-Take Marine Reserves (NTMRs) to restrict extractive activities like fishing and collecting, creating one of the largest networks of marine reserves globally. Benefits like increased biomass of fisheries-targeted species and improved coral community health metrics have been reported, though the effects of zoning on water chemistry and seawater microbiology remain unexplored. Using data from the Great Barrier Reef Microbial Genomics Database, we investigated the structure of seawater microbiomes on 48 offshore reefs within NTMRs and fished reefs. A supervised classification method (MINT sPLS-DA) identified 350 indicator species that predict zoning with ~71% accuracy (range 58-85%). Microbial communities broadly reflected reef states, with NTMR zones enriched in streamlined microbial oligotrophs (Pelagibacter and SAR86) correlating with higher cover of hard coral, crustose coralline algae, and herbivore fish abundance under lower nutrient conditions. By contrast, fished reefs harbored opportunists (Flavobacteriales, especially UA16, and Pseudomonadales) associating with elevated nutrients and turf algae cover. Co-occurrence networks revealed stronger competitive interactions in fished reefs, where nutrient-responsive taxa may outcompete other microbes, underscoring the need to investigate how these shifts influence reef nutrient cycling and function. Our findings reveal ecosystem-wide effects of marine zoning beyond fish protection, with distinct seawater microbiomes between fished reefs and NTMRs, which will help build decision tools for more targeted reef health monitoring assessments.