Campos-Arguedas, F.; Kirchhof, E.; North, M. G.; Pearson, K. J.; Guilliams, M. P.; Hanson, P. J.; Kovaleski, A. P.

Winter warming is altering plant exposure to cold events, yet its effects on seasonal cold hardiness dynamics remain poorly understood. Here we quantified bud cold hardiness across four dormant seasons in a boreal peatland forest whole ecosystem warming experiment. Across a +0.00 to +9.00{degrees}C warming gradient, we semi-regularly measured cold hardiness in two overstory (Larix laricina and Picea mariana) and two understory species (Chamaedaphne calyculata and Rhododendron groenlandicum). Warming reduced cold hardiness in fall and spring by delaying acclimation and advancing deacclimation. However, risk was only increased in late winter and spring for three species. Warming reduced snow cover, increasing temperature variability and cold damage to understory shrubs. Together, our results show that cold damage risk depends on species traits, microclimate, and seasonal timing.